Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST CONDITIONAL GRADUATION (1 & 2 time winners)
Line Horse
Juan Carlos
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Silvano's Timer 4 61.0 1 0.00 1.0 98 88 88 -10 2 Juan Carlos 7 55.5 2 0.40 0.0 84 84 84 +0 3 Shavout 4 58.5 3 0.65 1.0 82 88 88 +6 4 Good Queen Bess (GB 4 56.0 4 4.15 1.0 79 79 79 +0 5 Royal Monarch 3 57.0 5 4.45 2.0 81 78 78 -3 6 Incredibill 3 58.5 6 4.85 2.0 81 81 81 +0 99 Power Ranger 7 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silvano's Timer | 98 | 106 | 88 | +18 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Juan Carlos Line | 84 | 93 | 84 | +9 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Shavout | 82 | 70 | 88 | -18 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Good Queen Bess (GB) | 79 | 97 | 79 | +18 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Royal Monarch | 81 | 79 | 78 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Incredibill | 81 | 70 | 81 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Power Ranger | - | 69 | 79 | -10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points