Official NHA Assessment

Race 3: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST CONDITIONAL GRADUATION (1 & 2 time winners)

Line Horse
Juan Carlos
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Silvano's Timer      4    61.0    1    0.00     1.0   98    88           88    -10
2    Juan Carlos          7    55.5    2    0.40     0.0   84    84           84    +0
3    Shavout              4    58.5    3    0.65     1.0   82    88           88    +6
4    Good Queen Bess (GB  4    56.0    4    4.15     1.0   79    79           79    +0
5    Royal Monarch        3    57.0    5    4.45     2.0   81    78           78    -3
6    Incredibill          3    58.5    6    4.85     2.0   81    81           81    +0
99   Power Ranger         7    55.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     79           79    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Silvano's Timer 98 106 88 +18 1.0 -
2 Juan Carlos Line 84 93 84 +9 0.0
3 Shavout 82 70 88 -18 1.0 -
4 Good Queen Bess (GB) 79 97 79 +18 1.0 -
5 Royal Monarch 81 79 78 +1 2.0 -
6 Incredibill 81 70 81 -11 2.0 -
99 Power Ranger - 69 79 -10 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points