Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAB4RACING.CO.ZA MR 90 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Life On Mars
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kalahari Ferrari 3 57.5 1 0.00 2.0 87 89 87 +0 2 Jet Mirage 3 52.0 2 2.25 2.0 76 78 78 +2 3 Life On Mars 4 52.5 3 3.50 2.5 78 78 78 +0 4 Celtillus 5 59.0 4 4.75 0.0 88 96 96 +8 5 Line Of Power 4 53.0 5 4.85 2.5 76 79 79 +3 6 Paris Rix 3 57.5 6 7.10 2.0 87 89 89 +2 7 Jean's Man 5 61.0 7 7.20 0.0 92 100 100 +8 8 Undisclosed 5 52.5 8 7.30 0.0 74 83 83 +9 9 Slings And Arrows 3 56.5 9 7.55 2.0 85 87 87 +2 10 Cruzador 6 55.0 10 9.80 0.0 85 88 88 +3 11 Storm Chaser 4 55.0 11 10.05 2.5 79 83 83 +4 12 South East 4 56.5 12 10.30 2.5 83 86 86 +3 13 Amell 3 54.5 13 22.55 2.0 81 83 83 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kalahari Ferrari | 87 | 87 | 87 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Jet Mirage | 76 | 100 | 78 | +22 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Life On Mars Line | 78 | 87 | 78 | +9 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Celtillus | 88 | 92 | 96 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Line Of Power | 76 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Paris Rix | 87 | 81 | 89 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jean's Man | 92 | 92 | 100 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Undisclosed | 74 | 62 | 83 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Slings And Arrows | 85 | 92 | 87 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Cruzador | 85 | 61 | 88 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Storm Chaser | 79 | 69 | 83 | -14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | South East | 83 | 55 | 86 | -31 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Amell | 81 | 63 | 83 | -20 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points