Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: OK GRAND CHALLENGE (Grade 1) (Open/6th leg Open Series)
Line Horse
Holy Land
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 20
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 20
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 20
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Seven Seas 5 52.5 1 0.00 0.0 85 81 81 -4 2 True Beauty 4 57.5 2 0.05 1.0 95 89 89 -6 3 Holy Land 6 58.0 3 0.80 0.0 96 96 96 +0 4 Lily Blue 5 59.5 4 2.80 0.0 99 97 97 -2 5 Wantage 8 55.5 5 3.05 0.0 91 89 89 -2 6 Captain Of Tortuga 6 59.0 6 3.15 0.0 98 96 96 -2 7 Mr Greenlight 6 57.0 7 4.40 0.0 94 90 90 -4 8 Only Him 4 58.5 8 4.50 1.0 97 91 91 -6 9 Citrusdal 8 52.0 9 4.75 0.0 81 80 80 -1 10 Edward The Seventh 7 55.0 10 5.00 0.0 89 86 86 -3 11 Finchatton 10 59.0 11 5.05 0.0 98 94 94 -4 12 Mind Master 4 52.0 12 5.10 1.0 80 78 78 -2 13 What A Dandy 7 62.0 13 5.60 0.0 105 100 100 -5 14 Bugatti Blue 7 55.0 14 8.10 0.0 90 86 86 -4 15 Armstrong 6 55.0 15 13.10 0.0 90 86 86 -4 16 Love The View 4 52.0 16 21.10 1.0 82 78 78 -4 17 Daffiq 8 57.0 17 27.10 0.0 94 90 90 -4 18 Obscure 4 54.5 18 28.60 1.0 80 83 83 +3 99 Varnica 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 79 80 79 +0 99 Tulip Way 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 77 80 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seven Seas | 85 | 90 | 81 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | True Beauty | 95 | 99 | 89 | +10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Holy Land Line | 96 | 97 | 96 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Lily Blue | 99 | 86 | 97 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Wantage | 91 | 78 | 89 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Captain Of Tortuga | 98 | 97 | 96 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mr Greenlight | 94 | 97 | 90 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Only Him | 97 | 87 | 91 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Citrusdal | 81 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Edward The Seventh (ZIM) | 89 | 85 | 86 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Finchatton | 98 | 95 | 94 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mind Master | 80 | 87 | 78 | +9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 13 | What A Dandy | 105 | 109 | 100 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Bugatti Blue | 90 | 87 | 86 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Armstrong | 90 | 89 | 86 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | Love The View | 82 | 82 | 78 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 17 | Daffiq | 94 | 94 | 90 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 18 | Obscure | 80 | 87 | 83 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Varnica | 79 | 90 | 79 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tulip Way | 77 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points