Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: WORLD SPORTS BETTING MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Benjamin
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Futurist 3 58.5 1 0.00 1.0 80 73 80 +0 2 Silent Trigger 6 58.5 2 0.75 0.0 79 79 79 +0 3 Benjamin 4 60.0 3 2.25 0.5 80 80 80 +0 4 Gaudis Masterpiece 3 58.5 4 2.30 1.0 80 75 75 -5 5 Silent War 3 58.0 5 3.05 1.0 79 74 74 -5 6 Faire Advantage 3 56.0 6 3.35 1.0 75 69 69 -6 7 Bluff On Bluff 3 57.5 7 4.10 1.0 78 72 72 -6 8 Queen's Wood 3 59.0 8 5.35 1.0 81 74 74 -7 9 Debonair 3 57.5 9 5.85 1.0 78 71 71 -7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Futurist | 80 | 104 | 80 | +24 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Silent Trigger | 79 | 60 | 79 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Benjamin Line | 80 | 75 | 80 | -5 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Gaudis Masterpiece | 80 | 80 | 75 | +5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Silent War | 79 | 91 | 74 | +17 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Faire Advantage | 75 | 71 | 69 | +2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bluff On Bluff | 78 | 80 | 72 | +8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Queen's Wood | 81 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Debonair | 78 | 73 | 71 | +2 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points