Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: www.caperacing.co.za MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHTS (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Autumn Moon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Light Speed 2 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 - 64 6 +6 2 Autumn Moon 3 55.5 2 0.75 1.5 64 64 64 +0 3 Galactic Path 3 58.0 3 0.85 1.5 69 69 69 +0 4 State Of Shock 3 58.5 4 2.10 1.5 70 69 69 -1 5 Masterful Guy 3 56.5 5 2.40 1.5 66 64 64 -2 6 Jem Rock 5 56.0 6 2.45 0.0 62 66 66 +4 7 Global Forests 3 54.0 7 2.50 1.5 61 59 59 -2 8 Bowled Over 3 58.5 8 3.25 1.5 70 68 68 -2 9 Douglas 4 54.5 9 4.25 0.5 58 61 61 +3 10 Hamlet 4 53.0 10 7.25 0.5 56 57 57 +1 11 Naushon 3 59.5 11 8.50 1.5 72 68 68 -4 12 Aeroforce 3 56.0 12 8.80 1.5 65 61 61 -4 13 Global Vista 3 60.0 13 15.05 1.5 - 69 69 +69 99 Robert Burns 3 59.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Light Speed | - | 103 | 6 | +97 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Autumn Moon Line | 64 | 57 | 64 | -7 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Galactic Path | 69 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | State Of Shock | 70 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Masterful Guy | 66 | 58 | 64 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Jem Rock | 62 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Global Forests | 61 | 65 | 59 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Bowled Over | 70 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Douglas | 58 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Hamlet | 56 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Naushon | 72 | 68 | 68 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Aeroforce | 65 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Global Vista | - | - | 69 | -69 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Robert Burns | - | 71 | 67 | +4 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points