Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 67 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Magicallee
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 New Orleans 3 52.0 1 0.00 2.0 56 60 56 +0 2 Magicallee 4 51.0 2 0.05 2.5 57 57 57 +0 3 Capriana 4 53.0 3 0.35 2.5 53 61 61 +8 4 Kileigh's Fate 4 53.5 4 0.40 2.5 62 62 62 +0 5 Our Emily 3 60.0 5 1.15 2.0 69 76 76 +7 6 Candy For My Mommy 3 55.5 6 1.75 2.0 60 67 67 +7 7 Fearless Kitty 3 59.0 7 1.90 2.0 67 74 74 +7 8 Airbuzz 4 57.5 8 2.20 2.5 62 70 70 +8 9 Beckoning Beauty 4 57.0 9 2.70 2.5 66 69 69 +3 10 My Elouise 3 55.0 10 5.90 2.0 59 66 66 +7 11 Meteoric 3 53.5 11 6.30 2.0 56 63 63 +7 12 Yata 3 59.5 12 8.10 2.0 68 75 75 +7 99 Arianos Spinner 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 64 64 +0 99 Time Silhouette 3 61.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 78 78 +0 99 Her Royal Majesty 5 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Orleans | 56 | 61 | 56 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Magicallee Line | 57 | 65 | 57 | +8 | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Capriana | 53 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Kileigh's Fate | 62 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Our Emily | 69 | 87 | 76 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Candy For My Mommy | 60 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fearless Kitty | 67 | 67 | 74 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Airbuzz | 62 | 55 | 70 | -15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Beckoning Beauty | 66 | 75 | 69 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | My Elouise | 59 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Meteoric | 56 | 76 | 63 | +13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Yata | 68 | 55 | 75 | -20 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Arianos Spinner | - | 51 | 64 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Time Silhouette | - | 56 | 78 | -22 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Her Royal Majesty | - | 64 | 82 | -18 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points