Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: WORLD SPORTS BETTING MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
War Banner
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Itsrainingwilliam 2 57.0 1 0.00 1.0 - 61 6 +6 2 Rule Of Thumb 2 57.0 2 3.00 1.0 - 61 61 +61 3 War Banner 3 60.0 3 3.75 2.0 65 65 65 +0 4 Sudden Song 3 60.0 4 3.80 2.0 73 65 65 -8 5 I Did It My Way 2 57.0 5 6.05 1.0 - 61 61 +61 6 Castle Time 3 60.0 6 6.80 2.0 70 65 65 -5 7 Leadership 2 57.0 7 7.00 1.0 - 61 61 +61 8 Donder Storm 3 60.0 8 7.20 2.0 68 65 65 -3 9 Winter's Joie 3 60.0 9 11.45 2.0 - 65 65 +65 10 What A Thief 3 60.0 10 11.95 2.0 70 65 65 -5 11 Barnbougle 3 60.0 11 19.70 2.0 - 65 65 +65 12 Western Wall 3 60.0 12 22.95 2.0 - 65 65 +65 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itsrainingwilliam | - | 108 | 6 | +102 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Rule Of Thumb | - | 86 | 61 | +25 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | War Banner Line | 65 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Sudden Song | 73 | 71 | 65 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | I Did It My Way | - | 81 | 61 | +20 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Castle Time | 70 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Leadership | - | 65 | 61 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Donder Storm | 68 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Winter's Joie | - | 56 | 65 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | What A Thief | 70 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Barnbougle | - | 66 | 65 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Western Wall | - | 51 | 65 | -14 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points