Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 77 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Retail Therapy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Magic In Motion      3    55.0    1    0.00     2.0   69    63           69    +0
2    Retail Therapy       5    60.0    2    0.75     0.0   77    77           77    +0
3    Diamond Girl         4    57.0    3    0.80     2.5   71    66           66    -5
3    Double Dream         3    56.5    3    0.80     2.0   72    66           66    -6
5    Lady Macbeth         3    57.0    5    1.05     2.0   73    67           67    -6
6    Winter's Destiny     3    57.0    6    1.15     2.0   73    67           67    -6
7    Kitten's Adventure   3    55.0    7    2.85     2.0   69    63           63    -6
8    There She Goes       6    57.5    8    3.75     0.0   79    72           72    -7
9    Rock On Captain      3    52.5    9    4.35     2.0   72    58           62    -10
10   Maidens Prayer       5    57.5    10   6.05     0.0   72    72           72    +0
11   Antico Amore         3    56.0    11   9.25     2.0   71    65           65    -6
12   Space Race           4    58.0    12   9.85     2.5   73    68           68    -5
99   Amarandi             3    56.0    99   0.00     2.0   -     65           65    +0
99   Winter Journey       3    54.0    99   0.00     2.0   -     61           61    +0
99   Icy Night            3    54.5    99   0.00     2.0   -     62           62    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Magic In Motion 69 72 69 +3 2.0 -
2 Retail Therapy Line 77 70 77 -7 0.0
3 Diamond Girl 71 74 66 +8 2.5 -
3 Double Dream 72 71 66 +5 2.0 -
5 Lady Macbeth 73 68 67 +1 2.0 -
6 Winter's Destiny 73 86 67 +19 2.0 -
7 Kitten's Adventure 69 58 63 -5 2.0 -
8 There She Goes 79 77 72 +5 0.0 -
9 Rock On Captain 72 57 62 -5 2.0 -
10 Maidens Prayer 72 70 72 -2 0.0 -
11 Antico Amore 71 59 65 -6 2.0 -
12 Space Race 73 57 68 -11 2.5 -
99 Amarandi - 91 65 +26 2.0 -
99 Winter Journey - 50 61 -11 2.0 -
99 Icy Night - 70 62 +8 2.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points