Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: 4RACING.TV PROGRESS PLATE (1,2 & 3 time winners & Maidens)
Line Horse
Ocean Warrior
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Supreme Dance 4 60.5 1 0.00 1.0 90 103 70 -20 2 Sovereign Spirit 6 60.5 2 1.00 0.0 116 109 109 -7 3 Flying Carpet 4 61.0 3 2.25 1.0 116 107 107 -9 4 Ocean Warrior 3 58.0 4 2.30 2.0 98 98 98 +0 5 Captain Of Grit 3 55.0 5 6.00 2.0 79 90 90 +11 99 Savannah Storm 5 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 106 106 +0 99 Captain Lannister 3 61.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 102 102 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Supreme Dance | 90 | 76 | 70 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sovereign Spirit | 116 | 106 | 109 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Flying Carpet | 116 | 116 | 107 | +9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ocean Warrior Line | 98 | 95 | 98 | -3 | 2.0 | ||
| 5 | Captain Of Grit | 79 | 84 | 90 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Savannah Storm | - | 102 | 106 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Captain Lannister | - | 115 | 102 | +13 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points