Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 23 JUNE MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Waqaas (AUS)
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Leeson               3    58.0    1    0.00     1.5   75    67           75    +0
2    Wondering Star       3    53.5    2    0.50     1.5   66    63           63    -3
3    Just A Memory        3    56.5    3    1.50     1.5   72    67           67    -5
4    Waqaas (AUS)         6    61.0    4    2.75     0.0   78    78           78    +0
5    Banha Bridge         5    58.0    5    3.00     0.0   72    72           72    +0
6    Track Commander      4    52.0    6    3.25     0.5   54    59           59    +5
7    Timbavati River      3    59.5    7    5.00     1.5   78    70           70    -8
8    Orgetorix            4    53.0    8    10.00    0.5   65    59           59    -6
99   Southern Blaze       3    58.0    99   0.00     1.5   -     67           67    +0
99   Theroseofbecharre    3    55.0    99   0.00     1.5   -     61           61    +0
99   Bloomington          3    57.5    99   0.00     1.5   -     66           66    +0
99   Twice As Special     5    48.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     50           50    +0
99   Khiza                3    50.5    99   0.00     1.5   -     52           52    +0
99   Orus Apollo          4    52.0    99   0.00     0.5   -     57           57    +0
99   Evening Rise         5    52.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     58           58    +0
99   Absolute Value       3    52.0    99   0.00     1.5   -     55           55    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Leeson 75 72 75 -3 1.5 -
2 Wondering Star 66 67 63 +4 1.5 -
3 Just A Memory 72 67 67 ✓ Match 1.5 -
4 Waqaas (AUS) Line 78 56 78 -22 0.0
5 Banha Bridge 72 70 72 -2 0.0 -
6 Track Commander 54 66 59 +7 0.5 -
7 Timbavati River 78 79 70 +9 1.5 -
8 Orgetorix 65 65 59 +6 0.5 -
99 Southern Blaze - 89 67 +22 1.5 -
99 Theroseofbecharre - 66 61 +5 1.5 -
99 Bloomington - 69 66 +3 1.5 -
99 Twice As Special - 46 50 -4 0.0 -
99 Khiza - 57 52 +5 1.5 -
99 Orus Apollo - 46 57 -11 0.5 -
99 Evening Rise - 54 58 -4 0.0 -
99 Absolute Value - 84 55 +29 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points