Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 23 JUNE MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Waqaas (AUS)
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Leeson 3 58.0 1 0.00 1.5 75 67 75 +0 2 Wondering Star 3 53.5 2 0.50 1.5 66 63 63 -3 3 Just A Memory 3 56.5 3 1.50 1.5 72 67 67 -5 4 Waqaas (AUS) 6 61.0 4 2.75 0.0 78 78 78 +0 5 Banha Bridge 5 58.0 5 3.00 0.0 72 72 72 +0 6 Track Commander 4 52.0 6 3.25 0.5 54 59 59 +5 7 Timbavati River 3 59.5 7 5.00 1.5 78 70 70 -8 8 Orgetorix 4 53.0 8 10.00 0.5 65 59 59 -6 99 Southern Blaze 3 58.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 67 67 +0 99 Theroseofbecharre 3 55.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 61 61 +0 99 Bloomington 3 57.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 66 66 +0 99 Twice As Special 5 48.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 50 50 +0 99 Khiza 3 50.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 52 52 +0 99 Orus Apollo 4 52.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 57 57 +0 99 Evening Rise 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 58 58 +0 99 Absolute Value 3 52.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 55 55 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeson | 75 | 72 | 75 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Wondering Star | 66 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Just A Memory | 72 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Waqaas (AUS) Line | 78 | 56 | 78 | -22 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Banha Bridge | 72 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Track Commander | 54 | 66 | 59 | +7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Timbavati River | 78 | 79 | 70 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Orgetorix | 65 | 65 | 59 | +6 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Southern Blaze | - | 89 | 67 | +22 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Theroseofbecharre | - | 66 | 61 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Bloomington | - | 69 | 66 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Twice As Special | - | 46 | 50 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Khiza | - | 57 | 52 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Orus Apollo | - | 46 | 57 | -11 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Evening Rise | - | 54 | 58 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Absolute Value | - | 84 | 55 | +29 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points