Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Goliath Heron
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rollwiththepunches 6 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 90 88 90 +0 2 Val d'Orcia 3 61.0 2 1.25 2.0 105 94 95 -10 3 Goliath Heron 6 57.0 3 2.50 0.0 90 90 90 +0 4 Spanish Boy 5 55.5 4 3.25 0.0 87 87 87 +0 5 Tuscan Winter 4 55.0 5 6.00 2.5 86 81 81 -5 6 Dockofthebay 3 57.0 6 6.50 2.0 92 86 86 -6 7 Burning Wings 4 56.5 7 7.75 2.5 89 84 84 -5 8 Whorly Whorly 7 61.5 8 8.25 0.0 99 99 99 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rollwiththepunches | 90 | 90 | 90 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Val d'Orcia | 105 | 105 | 95 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Goliath Heron Line | 90 | 86 | 90 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Spanish Boy | 87 | 84 | 87 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Tuscan Winter | 86 | 90 | 81 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Dockofthebay | 92 | 71 | 86 | -15 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Burning Wings | 89 | 64 | 84 | -20 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Whorly Whorly | 99 | 78 | 99 | -21 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points