Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: BRYANSTON AUCTIONEERS EAST CAPE GUINEAS (Listed) (For 3yo. 2nd Leg EC Sophomore Challenge)
Line Horse
My Best Shot
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 My Best Shot 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 111 111 111 +0 2 Waheed 3 60.0 2 1.25 3.0 101 115 115 +14 3 Splicethemainbrace 3 57.5 3 2.75 3.0 108 108 108 +0 4 Master Forester 3 60.0 4 4.00 3.0 89 112 112 +23 5 Polynomial 3 57.5 5 10.50 3.0 88 106 106 +18 6 Sakurajima 3 60.0 6 38.25 3.0 99 111 111 +12 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | My Best Shot Line | 111 | 116 | 111 | +5 | 3.0 | ||
| 2 | Waheed | 101 | 105 | 115 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Splicethemainbrace | 108 | 108 | 108 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Master Forester | 89 | 90 | 112 | -22 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Polynomial | 88 | 79 | 106 | -27 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sakurajima | 99 | 90 | 111 | -21 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points