Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: www.trackandball.co.za PINNACLE STAKES (For all horses)
Line Horse
Pray For Rain
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Socrates 7 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 109 112 112 +3 2 Chantyman 7 59.5 2 0.10 0.0 117 114 114 -3 3 Coin Spinner 3 55.0 3 1.10 2.0 97 101 101 +4 4 After The Rain 4 56.0 4 1.60 2.5 98 102 102 +4 5 Pray For Rain 4 58.5 5 1.90 2.5 107 107 107 +0 6 Mr Cobbs 5 58.5 6 2.50 0.0 108 112 112 +4 7 Al Sakeet 4 60.0 7 2.55 2.5 114 110 110 -4 8 Tempting Fate 4 60.0 8 2.85 2.5 110 110 110 +0 9 Filippo 7 57.0 9 4.95 0.0 101 109 109 +8 10 Mount Pleasant (AUS 4 58.5 10 5.10 2.5 106 107 107 +1 99 Kwite A Trip 4 56.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 102 102 +0 99 Bold Ransom 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 115 115 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Socrates | 109 | 111 | 112 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Chantyman | 117 | 114 | 114 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Coin Spinner | 97 | 101 | 101 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | After The Rain | 98 | 98 | 102 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Pray For Rain Line | 107 | 106 | 107 | -1 | 2.5 | ||
| 6 | Mr Cobbs | 108 | 106 | 112 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Al Sakeet | 114 | 106 | 110 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Tempting Fate | 110 | 103 | 110 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Filippo | 101 | 93 | 109 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Mount Pleasant (AUS) | 106 | 71 | 107 | -36 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Kwite A Trip | - | 93 | 102 | -9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Bold Ransom | - | 110 | 115 | -5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points