Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST FM 82 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Bella Siccome
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Drama Queen 5 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 81 91 81 +0 2 Unconditional Love 3 59.0 2 0.30 1.5 83 92 92 +9 3 Bella Siccome 3 53.0 3 0.80 1.5 79 79 79 +0 4 Rotunda 3 57.5 4 1.10 1.5 80 88 88 +8 5 Lucky Miss 3 58.5 5 2.20 1.5 82 89 89 +7 6 Lady Serena 3 55.5 6 2.25 1.5 76 83 83 +7 7 Dawnofanewday 3 57.5 7 2.95 1.5 80 86 86 +6 8 Ice Sunsation 6 56.5 8 4.35 0.0 78 85 85 +7 9 Jackson Wells 5 60.0 9 4.40 0.0 82 92 92 +10 10 Sacred Blues 5 53.5 10 4.45 0.0 77 79 79 +2 11 Bingin Beach 3 54.5 11 4.75 1.5 74 78 78 +4 12 Aerial View 3 59.5 12 7.15 1.5 84 88 88 +4 13 Trump My Queen 3 56.0 13 8.55 1.5 77 81 81 +4 14 Jack's Bird 5 59.0 14 11.55 0.0 80 90 90 +10 15 Bella Swan 3 54.5 15 12.85 1.5 74 78 78 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drama Queen | 81 | 84 | 81 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Unconditional Love | 83 | 100 | 92 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Bella Siccome Line | 79 | 93 | 79 | +14 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Rotunda | 80 | 83 | 88 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Lucky Miss | 82 | 82 | 89 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Lady Serena | 76 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Dawnofanewday | 80 | 107 | 86 | +21 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Ice Sunsation | 78 | 90 | 85 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Jackson Wells | 82 | 76 | 92 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sacred Blues | 77 | 76 | 79 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Bingin Beach | 74 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Aerial View | 84 | 82 | 88 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Trump My Queen | 77 | 64 | 81 | -17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Jack's Bird | 80 | 75 | 90 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Bella Swan | 74 | 71 | 78 | -7 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points