Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Living Waters
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Master Tobe 5 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 64 58 64 +0 2 Living Waters 5 58.0 2 1.00 0.0 62 62 62 +0 3 Space News 4 60.0 3 4.50 1.0 66 59 59 -7 4 Deep Global 4 54.5 4 5.25 1.0 55 47 47 -8 5 Teichman 5 58.0 5 6.45 0.0 62 56 56 -6 6 Master Vision 5 54.5 6 7.35 0.0 58 49 49 -9 7 Grey Linngari 5 54.5 7 7.40 0.0 55 49 49 -6 8 Head Gardener 3 57.5 8 7.65 2.0 65 51 55 -10 9 Colour Master 3 57.5 9 7.90 2.0 65 51 55 -10 10 Hey Bill 4 60.0 10 7.95 1.0 66 58 58 -8 11 King's Cove 6 55.5 11 8.15 0.0 57 51 51 -6 12 Fever 5 54.5 12 10.95 0.0 55 49 49 -6 13 National Flag 3 54.0 13 14.25 2.0 66 44 56 -10 99 Arrow's Mark 6 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 56 56 +0 99 Ventriloquist 4 52.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 43 43 +0 99 Twice Golden 5 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 49 49 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Master Tobe | 64 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Living Waters Line | 62 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Space News | 66 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Deep Global | 55 | 54 | 47 | +7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Teichman | 62 | 73 | 56 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Master Vision | 58 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Grey Linngari | 55 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Head Gardener | 65 | 66 | 55 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Colour Master | 65 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Hey Bill | 66 | 71 | 58 | +13 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | King's Cove | 57 | 52 | 51 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Fever | 55 | 52 | 49 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | National Flag | 66 | 63 | 56 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Arrow's Mark | - | 54 | 56 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ventriloquist | - | 46 | 43 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Twice Golden | - | 84 | 49 | +35 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points