Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Living Waters
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Master Tobe          5    59.0    1    0.00     0.0   64    58           64    +0
2    Living Waters        5    58.0    2    1.00     0.0   62    62           62    +0
3    Space News           4    60.0    3    4.50     1.0   66    59           59    -7
4    Deep Global          4    54.5    4    5.25     1.0   55    47           47    -8
5    Teichman             5    58.0    5    6.45     0.0   62    56           56    -6
6    Master Vision        5    54.5    6    7.35     0.0   58    49           49    -9
7    Grey Linngari        5    54.5    7    7.40     0.0   55    49           49    -6
8    Head Gardener        3    57.5    8    7.65     2.0   65    51           55    -10
9    Colour Master        3    57.5    9    7.90     2.0   65    51           55    -10
10   Hey Bill             4    60.0    10   7.95     1.0   66    58           58    -8
11   King's Cove          6    55.5    11   8.15     0.0   57    51           51    -6
12   Fever                5    54.5    12   10.95    0.0   55    49           49    -6
13   National Flag        3    54.0    13   14.25    2.0   66    44           56    -10
99   Arrow's Mark         6    58.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     56           56    +0
99   Ventriloquist        4    52.5    99   0.00     1.0   -     43           43    +0
99   Twice Golden         5    54.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     49           49    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Master Tobe 64 62 64 -2 0.0 -
2 Living Waters Line 62 59 62 -3 0.0
3 Space News 66 52 59 -7 1.0 -
4 Deep Global 55 54 47 +7 1.0 -
5 Teichman 62 73 56 +17 0.0 -
6 Master Vision 58 47 49 -2 0.0 -
7 Grey Linngari 55 50 49 +1 0.0 -
8 Head Gardener 65 66 55 +11 2.0 -
9 Colour Master 65 52 55 -3 2.0 -
10 Hey Bill 66 71 58 +13 1.0 -
11 King's Cove 57 52 51 +1 0.0 -
12 Fever 55 52 49 +3 0.0 -
13 National Flag 66 63 56 +7 2.0 -
99 Arrow's Mark - 54 56 -2 0.0 -
99 Ventriloquist - 46 43 +3 1.0 -
99 Twice Golden - 84 49 +35 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points