Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: WORLD SPORTS BETTING POCKET POWER STAKES (Grade 3) (For 3-year olds - Winter Series Leg 3)
Line Horse
Baratheon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winchester Mansion 3 59.0 1 0.00 3.0 99 85 85 -14 2 Thefutureisbright 3 59.0 2 0.50 3.0 82 91 91 +9 3 Top Quality 3 59.0 3 0.90 3.0 86 90 90 +4 4 Baratheon 3 59.0 4 1.20 3.0 90 90 90 +0 5 Gentleman Joe 3 59.0 5 5.45 3.0 77 85 85 +8 6 Over Two You 3 59.0 6 7.20 3.0 78 85 85 +7 7 Gem King 6 60.0 7 7.50 0.0 104 93 94 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winchester Mansion | 99 | 129 | 85 | +44 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Thefutureisbright | 82 | 94 | 91 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Top Quality | 86 | 99 | 90 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Baratheon Line | 90 | 106 | 90 | +16 | 3.0 | ||
| 5 | Gentleman Joe | 77 | 83 | 85 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Over Two You | 78 | 74 | 85 | -11 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Gem King | 104 | 108 | 94 | +14 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points