Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: DECLARATIONOFPEACE KWAZULU-NATAL BREEDERS 1600 (F & M) (For all KZN Breeders Series Qualifying (F&M) (Non-Blk Type))
Line Horse
Capetown Beauty
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Crazy Blues 3 50.0 1 0.00 1.5 80 75 75 -5 2 Lady Tiptree 3 50.0 2 0.70 1.5 74 80 80 +6 3 Capetown Beauty 3 54.0 3 0.95 1.5 87 87 87 +0 4 Aisling 3 50.5 4 2.75 1.5 77 78 78 +1 5 Roy's Rocker 3 50.5 5 3.75 1.5 56 77 77 +21 6 Miss Lialah 4 50.0 6 4.15 0.5 52 78 78 +26 7 Alfonse Baby 5 50.0 7 4.20 0.0 73 79 79 +6 8 Wishful Girl Linn 5 58.0 8 5.10 0.0 95 94 94 -1 9 Conchita 4 50.0 9 6.10 0.5 76 77 77 +1 10 Blue Sails 3 50.0 10 6.70 1.5 79 75 75 -4 99 Admire Me 4 60.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 97 97 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crazy Blues | 80 | 78 | 75 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Lady Tiptree | 74 | 68 | 80 | -12 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Capetown Beauty Line | 87 | 76 | 87 | -11 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Aisling | 77 | 66 | 78 | -12 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Roy's Rocker | 56 | 53 | 77 | -24 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Miss Lialah | 52 | 65 | 78 | -13 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Alfonse Baby | 73 | 69 | 79 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Wishful Girl Linn | 95 | 85 | 94 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Conchita | 76 | 56 | 77 | -21 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Blue Sails | 79 | 79 | 75 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Admire Me | - | 85 | 97 | -12 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points