Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 67 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
New Orleans
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Not Now Pussycat 6 55.0 1 0.00 0.0 57 66 57 +0 2 New Orleans 3 53.0 2 0.30 2.0 58 58 58 +0 3 Rock On Captain 3 55.5 3 0.40 2.0 68 63 63 -5 4 Kitten's Adventure 3 58.5 4 0.45 2.0 66 69 69 +3 5 Verolina 3 61.0 5 0.95 2.0 71 74 74 +3 6 Arianos Spinner 5 52.0 6 1.00 0.0 51 60 60 +9 7 Perfect Appeal 3 57.0 7 1.30 2.0 63 66 66 +3 8 Looking Hot 3 55.5 8 1.35 2.0 60 63 63 +3 9 Gimme A Lullaby 3 56.0 9 3.25 2.0 61 64 64 +3 10 Global Secret 3 60.0 10 5.85 2.0 69 72 72 +3 11 Groundhog Day 3 56.5 11 8.15 2.0 62 65 65 +3 12 Kileigh's Fate 4 57.5 12 99.99 2.5 62 66 66 +4 99 Poppy Of Bayeux 3 61.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Not Now Pussycat | 57 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | New Orleans Line | 58 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Rock On Captain | 68 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Kitten's Adventure | 66 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Verolina | 71 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Arianos Spinner | 51 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Perfect Appeal | 63 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Looking Hot | 60 | 68 | 63 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gimme A Lullaby | 61 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Global Secret | 69 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Groundhog Day | 62 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Kileigh's Fate | 62 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Poppy Of Bayeux | - | 57 | 74 | -17 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points