Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 3 JULY FM 77 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Sacred Valley
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Halloween 4 58.0 1 0.00 0.5 73 71 73 +0 2 Sacred Valley 3 52.0 2 3.00 1.5 59 59 59 +0 3 Rose Willow 4 52.0 3 6.00 0.5 54 59 59 +5 4 Toto's Dream 3 54.5 4 6.10 1.5 69 62 62 -7 5 Hotchiwitchi 4 60.0 5 7.00 0.5 77 75 75 -2 6 Evening Rise 5 52.0 6 8.40 0.0 56 60 60 +4 7 Fasinada 4 52.0 7 8.90 0.5 53 59 59 +6 8 Princess Philippa 3 59.5 8 10.50 1.5 79 72 72 -7 9 Shining Armour 3 56.5 9 11.50 1.5 78 66 68 -10 10 Land Of Rubies 5 48.5 10 13.75 0.0 60 53 53 -7 11 Ray Indigo 3 52.0 11 14.10 1.5 61 57 57 -4 12 Global Louise 3 53.0 12 14.50 1.5 66 59 59 -7 13 Twice As Special 5 52.0 13 15.80 0.0 46 60 60 +14 14 Lidl Miss Sunshine 3 58.0 14 99.99 1.5 76 69 69 -7 99 Theroseofbecharre 3 53.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 59 59 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halloween | 73 | 84 | 73 | +11 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Sacred Valley Line | 59 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Rose Willow | 54 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Toto's Dream | 69 | 63 | 62 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Hotchiwitchi | 77 | 53 | 75 | -22 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Evening Rise | 56 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fasinada | 53 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Princess Philippa | 79 | 85 | 72 | +13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Shining Armour | 78 | 67 | 68 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Land Of Rubies | 60 | 57 | 53 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Ray Indigo | 61 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Global Louise | 66 | 66 | 59 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Twice As Special | 46 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Lidl Miss Sunshine | 76 | 62 | 69 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Theroseofbecharre | - | 66 | 59 | +7 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points