Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: NOVICE PLATE (Maidens & 1 time winners)
Line Horse
Karoo Winter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Why Madera 2 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 - 51 6 +6 2 Karoo Winter 4 57.5 2 0.75 0.5 55 55 55 +0 3 Windsor Lane (ZIM) 4 55.0 3 4.75 0.5 48 46 46 -2 4 Bruce's Spirit 6 58.0 4 6.75 0.0 53 53 53 +0 5 Days Gone By 3 57.5 5 14.75 1.0 55 50 50 -5 6 Mustatheef 3 60.0 6 20.75 1.0 59 55 55 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Why Madera | - | 89 | 6 | +83 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Karoo Winter Line | 55 | 56 | 55 | +1 | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Windsor Lane (ZIM) | 48 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Bruce's Spirit | 53 | 55 | 53 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Days Gone By | 55 | 51 | 50 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mustatheef | 59 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points