Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: MERIT RATED 71 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Assume
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Al Mashriq 4 55.5 1 0.00 2.0 61 60 61 +0 2 Keen Spirit 3 56.5 2 2.50 1.5 65 63 63 -2 3 Assume 3 54.0 3 3.75 1.5 58 58 58 +0 4 Powder Puff 4 59.0 4 3.85 2.0 69 67 67 -2 5 Var Aglow 5 60.0 5 9.85 0.0 71 73 73 +2 6 Cha Vez 3 52.5 6 9.90 1.5 57 55 55 -2 7 Justadoreher 5 58.5 7 9.95 0.0 68 70 70 +2 8 Albar Warning 3 52.0 8 11.20 1.5 51 54 54 +3 9 Ian's Ferrari 3 55.0 9 19.20 1.5 62 60 60 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Mashriq | 61 | 71 | 61 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Keen Spirit | 65 | 71 | 63 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Assume Line | 58 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Powder Puff | 69 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Var Aglow | 71 | 84 | 73 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cha Vez | 57 | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Justadoreher | 68 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Albar Warning | 51 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Ian's Ferrari | 62 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points