Race 7: EAST CAPE BREEDERS STAKES (Listed) (1st Leg Eastern Cape (F & M) Challenge)
FAIRVIEW RACECOURSE | Friday, 01 July 2022 | 16:00
Distance:
1200m
Going:
Good
Stakes:
R150,000
Race Results
| Pos | Horse | A.C.S. | Weight | Draw | Jockey | Len | MR | CMR | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | Franca | 3 b. f | 58.5kg | 3 | Mr S R Khathi | - | 102 | 90 | 8/1 |
| 2nd | Glacier Gold TF | 4 gr. f | 60.0kg | 5 | Mr G M Cheyne | 1.0 | 102 | 104 | 3/1 |
| 3rd | Purple Merchant | 4 b. f | 59.0kg | 8 | Mr W B Kennedy | 2.25 | 81 | 94 | 16/1 |
| 4 | Fly My Flag | 4 b. f | 59.0kg | 10 | Mr L Mxothwa | 3.0 | 100 | 98 | 33/10 |
| 5 | Miss Nibbles | 3 b. f | 58.5kg | 7 | Mr J P van der Merwe | 4.25 | 94 | 95 | 33/1 |
| 6 | Green Light Gal | 4 b. f | 59.0kg | 4 | Mr R Munger | 4.3 | 96 | 93 | 14/1 |
| 7 | Gillian Anne | 4 b. f | 59.0kg | 9 | Mr K A Brewer | 4.55 | 86 | 90 | 16/1 |
| 8 | La Folie Douce | 3 b. f | 58.5kg | 1 | Mr P C Orffer | 5.8 | 89 | 88 | 9/2 |
| 9 | Say When | 4 b. f | 59.0kg | 2 | Mr M Mjoka | 6.05 | 84 | 84 | 25/1 |
| 10 | Sweet The Sound | 3 b. f | 58.5kg | 11 | Mr X C Ndlovu | 6.55 | 85 | 60 | 33/1 |
| 11 | Sound Check | 3 b. f | 58.5kg | 12 | Mr T T Gould | 7.3 | 99 | 79 | 33/1 |
| 12 | Herrin | 4 b. f | 59.0kg | 6 | Mr R Khathi | 25.55 | 78 | 77 | 33/1 |
Race Timing
Winning Time
70.6s
Average Time
69.47s
Difference
+%.2fs
Total Pool
R636,000
Rating Analysis
| Horse | Pos | MR Before | MR After | Official Δ | Expected Δ | Discrepancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franca | 1 | 102 | 90 | + 7 | -19 | |
| Glacier Gold | 2 | 102 | 104 | -1 | + 3 | |
| Purple Merchant | 3 | 81 | 94 | -1 | + 14 | |
| Fly My Flag | 4 | 100 | 98 | -2 | ||
| Miss Nibbles | 5 | 94 | 95 | -2 | + 3 | |
| Green Light Gal | 6 | 96 | 93 | -2 | -1 | |
| Gillian Anne | 7 | 86 | 90 | -2 | + 6 | |
| La Folie Douce | 8 | 89 | 88 | -2 | + 1 | |
| Say When | 9 | 84 | 84 | 0 | -3 | + 3 |
| Sweet The Sound | 10 | 85 | 60 | -3 | -22 | |
| Sound Check | 11 | 99 | 79 | -3 | -17 | |
| Herrin | 12 | 78 | 77 | -9 | + 8 |
Note: Expected changes are calculated using simplified algorithms.
Official NHRA algorithms from the PDF will provide accurate benchmarking.