Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: POST MERCHANTS (Grade 2) (Open)
Line Horse
Eden Roc
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Val d'Orcia 3 54.0 1 0.00 1.5 105 103 103 -2 2 Good Traveller 6 58.0 2 0.50 0.0 116 114 114 -2 3 Sheela 3 51.5 3 1.60 1.5 107 98 98 -9 4 Eden Roc 5 56.0 4 1.70 0.0 110 110 110 +0 5 William Robertson 6 58.0 5 1.75 0.0 117 114 114 -3 6 Coin Spinner 3 52.0 6 2.05 1.5 97 99 99 +2 7 Isivunguvungu 3 54.0 7 2.45 1.5 103 103 103 +0 8 Socrates 7 56.0 8 2.50 0.0 111 110 110 -1 9 Vars Vicky 4 56.0 9 2.80 2.0 111 106 106 -5 10 Sound Of Warning 3 55.5 10 3.30 1.5 116 106 106 -10 11 Bartholdi 4 58.0 11 4.90 2.0 115 110 110 -5 12 Pearl Of Asia 5 58.0 12 4.95 0.0 115 114 114 -1 13 Mr Cobbs 5 56.0 13 5.70 0.0 108 110 110 +2 14 Chantyman 7 60.0 14 8.90 0.0 117 118 118 +1 99 Kwinta's Light 3 51.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 98 98 +0 99 Captain Fontane 4 54.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 102 102 +0 99 After The Rain 4 52.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 98 98 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Val d'Orcia | 105 | 105 | 103 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Good Traveller | 116 | 108 | 114 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Sheela | 107 | 121 | 98 | +23 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Eden Roc Line | 110 | 98 | 110 | -12 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | William Robertson | 117 | 124 | 114 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Coin Spinner | 97 | 101 | 99 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Isivunguvungu | 103 | 130 | 103 | +27 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Socrates | 111 | 111 | 110 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Vars Vicky | 111 | 116 | 106 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sound Of Warning | 116 | 110 | 106 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Bartholdi | 115 | 117 | 110 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Pearl Of Asia | 115 | 107 | 114 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Mr Cobbs | 108 | 106 | 110 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Chantyman | 117 | 114 | 118 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kwinta's Light | - | 109 | 98 | +11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Captain Fontane | - | 109 | 102 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | After The Rain | - | 98 | 98 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points