Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION PINNACLE STAKES (Open)
Line Horse
Origami
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Naval Guard 4 50.0 1 0.00 0.5 90 92 92 +2 2 Origami 4 52.0 2 1.75 0.5 99 99 99 +0 3 Youcanthurrylove 5 50.5 3 3.00 0.0 97 96 96 -1 4 Imperial Master 4 48.5 4 3.50 0.5 93 90 90 -3 5 Sovereign Spirit 6 58.0 5 4.75 0.0 114 109 109 -5 6 Bingwa 7 60.0 6 6.00 0.0 119 113 113 -6 7 Dr Doolittle 4 54.5 7 13.00 0.5 106 101 101 -5 99 Blue Moon City 4 50.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 92 92 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naval Guard | 90 | 93 | 92 | +1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Origami Line | 99 | 92 | 99 | -7 | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Youcanthurrylove | 97 | 86 | 96 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Imperial Master | 93 | 90 | 90 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Sovereign Spirit | 114 | 106 | 109 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bingwa | 119 | 107 | 113 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Dr Doolittle | 106 | 103 | 101 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Blue Moon City | - | 75 | 92 | -17 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points