Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING TUESDAY 5 JULY CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)
Line Horse
Edward Longshanks
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Scottadito 3 58.5 1 0.00 1.5 65 62 62 -3 2 Irrevocable Dream 5 56.0 2 0.25 0.0 59 60 60 +1 3 Allez Les Bleu (AUS 6 53.0 3 2.50 0.0 59 54 54 -5 4 Edward Longshanks 3 58.0 4 2.75 1.5 61 61 61 +0 5 Trust The Fire 4 60.0 5 4.00 2.0 64 64 64 +0 6 In The Ether 6 54.5 6 4.10 0.0 58 57 57 -1 7 Sea Of Tranquility 3 54.5 7 4.50 1.5 52 54 54 +2 8 Rising Fenix 3 58.5 8 6.25 1.5 67 62 62 -5 9 Mercer Girl 6 55.0 9 6.35 0.0 55 58 58 +3 10 Bridge Of Spies 6 56.0 10 7.00 0.0 50 60 60 +10 11 Princess Queen 3 53.0 11 9.25 1.5 54 51 51 -3 12 Vantage Point 2 54.5 12 13.50 0.5 70 56 60 -10 13 British Diva 3 54.5 13 14.75 1.5 60 54 54 -6 14 Hear The Trumpet 6 54.5 14 20.00 0.0 54 57 57 +3 15 Father Time 5 56.0 15 24.25 0.0 56 60 60 +4 99 Musical Kiss 3 56.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scottadito | 65 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Irrevocable Dream | 59 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Allez Les Bleu (AUS) | 59 | 58 | 54 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Edward Longshanks Line | 61 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 1.5 | ||
| 5 | Trust The Fire | 64 | 65 | 64 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | In The Ether | 58 | 63 | 57 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sea Of Tranquility | 52 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Rising Fenix | 67 | 63 | 62 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Mercer Girl | 55 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bridge Of Spies | 50 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Princess Queen | 54 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Vantage Point | 70 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 13 | British Diva | 60 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Hear The Trumpet | 54 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Father Time | 56 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Musical Kiss | - | 53 | 58 | -5 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points