Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: WORLD SPORTS BETTING CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 78 and below)
Line Horse
On The Road Again
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ragnar Lothbrok 3 56.0 1 0.00 1.5 70 70 70 +0 2 On The Road Again 3 58.0 2 2.25 1.5 74 74 74 +0 3 Superior Leader 4 54.0 3 3.00 2.0 66 65 65 -1 3 Mr Frostie 4 52.0 3 3.00 2.0 57 61 61 +4 5 Bluff On Bluff 3 60.0 5 4.00 1.5 77 78 78 +1 6 What A State 3 58.5 6 4.10 1.5 78 75 75 -3 7 Wordsworth 7 54.0 7 4.40 0.0 66 69 69 +3 8 Jury Duty 4 50.5 8 4.80 2.0 62 58 58 -4 9 Night Song 5 60.0 9 7.05 0.0 77 81 81 +4 10 Legitimise 4 56.0 10 8.55 2.0 68 69 69 +1 11 Baltimore Jack 5 58.0 11 9.55 0.0 74 77 77 +3 12 Swift Action 3 56.0 12 10.05 1.5 69 70 70 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 70 | 81 | 70 | +11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | On The Road Again Line | 74 | 79 | 74 | +5 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Superior Leader | 66 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mr Frostie | 57 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bluff On Bluff | 77 | 80 | 78 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | What A State | 78 | 82 | 75 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Wordsworth | 66 | 65 | 69 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Jury Duty | 62 | 77 | 58 | +19 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Night Song | 77 | 73 | 81 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Legitimise | 68 | 66 | 69 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Baltimore Jack | 74 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Swift Action | 69 | 77 | 70 | +7 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points