Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Gimme A Rainbow
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hippocrates 3 53.0 1 0.00 1.5 55 55 55 +0 2 Pashtunwali 6 62.0 2 0.40 0.0 72 76 76 +4 3 Gimme A Rainbow 4 58.0 3 1.10 2.0 64 64 64 +0 4 Senor Garcia 3 61.0 4 1.20 1.5 71 71 71 +0 5 Capetown Affair 5 53.0 5 2.50 0.0 54 58 58 +4 6 Monsoon Kenny 3 57.0 6 3.90 1.5 63 63 63 +0 7 Charge Down 4 57.0 7 4.60 2.0 62 62 62 +0 8 Top Honours 4 54.5 8 6.80 2.0 60 57 57 -3 9 Enid's Girl 2 53.0 9 9.70 0.5 77 57 67 -10 10 One Shot Wonder 3 59.0 10 10.40 1.5 67 67 67 +0 99 Blue Eyes 4 59.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 66 66 +0 99 Woodstock Festival 6 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hippocrates | 55 | 68 | 55 | +13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Pashtunwali | 72 | 58 | 76 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Gimme A Rainbow Line | 64 | 74 | 64 | +10 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Senor Garcia | 71 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Capetown Affair | 54 | 59 | 58 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Monsoon Kenny | 63 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Charge Down | 62 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Top Honours | 60 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Enid's Girl | 77 | 59 | 67 | -8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | One Shot Wonder | 67 | 46 | 67 | -21 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Blue Eyes | - | 56 | 66 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Woodstock Festival | - | 57 | 70 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points