Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 27 MARCH MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Samoa
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Inafix 4 58.0 1 0.00 4.0 62 54 62 +0 2 Jet Cat 9 54.5 2 0.70 0.0 55 55 55 +0 3 Si Veloce 4 49.0 3 1.60 4.0 52 36 42 -10 4 Samoa 10 57.0 4 1.85 0.0 60 60 60 +0 5 Phala Millions 4 55.0 5 2.05 4.0 56 48 48 -8 6 Twice As Wild 6 51.0 6 2.25 0.0 53 48 48 -5 7 Great Barrier 4 58.5 7 3.25 4.0 63 55 55 -8 8 Together Again 5 55.5 8 4.25 0.0 57 57 57 +0 9 Bregardt 4 52.5 9 4.85 4.0 59 43 49 -10 10 Pacific 4 56.5 10 8.25 4.0 59 51 51 -8 11 Thymetoshine 5 52.5 11 11.00 0.0 51 51 51 +0 12 Dancing Dora 6 55.0 12 12.25 0.0 56 56 56 +0 99 Circus Lights 5 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 99 In The Ether 6 62.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 71 71 +0 99 Life Goes On 7 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inafix | 62 | 69 | 62 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Jet Cat | 55 | 60 | 55 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Si Veloce | 52 | 50 | 42 | +8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Samoa Line | 60 | 64 | 60 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Phala Millions | 56 | 66 | 48 | +18 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Twice As Wild | 53 | 51 | 48 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Great Barrier | 63 | 60 | 55 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Together Again | 57 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bregardt | 59 | 52 | 49 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Pacific | 59 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Thymetoshine | 51 | 51 | 51 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Dancing Dora | 56 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Circus Lights | - | 64 | 68 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | In The Ether | - | 63 | 71 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Life Goes On | - | 54 | 56 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points