Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 14 JULY FM 77 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Special Variety
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Emerald Princess 3 60.0 1 0.00 0.5 79 74 79 +0 2 Special Variety 3 58.5 2 0.50 0.5 76 76 76 +0 3 Timeforthat 4 52.0 3 0.70 0.5 57 63 63 +6 4 Red Carpet Girl 3 52.0 4 0.90 0.5 62 62 62 +0 5 Fasinada 4 48.0 5 2.00 0.5 52 53 53 +1 6 Princess Philippa 3 56.0 6 2.25 0.5 74 69 69 -5 7 Golden Aspen 6 59.5 7 3.00 0.0 78 76 76 -2 8 Rose Willow 4 52.0 8 5.00 0.5 55 58 58 +3 9 Young Jackie 3 53.5 9 5.10 0.5 66 61 61 -5 10 Paschals Samore 5 52.0 10 5.35 0.0 53 59 59 +6 11 Divine Dynasty 3 58.0 11 8.50 0.5 75 70 70 -5 12 Lidl Miss Sunshine 3 58.5 12 11.75 0.5 76 71 71 -5 99 Angel's Wish 6 49.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerald Princess | 79 | 98 | 79 | +19 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Special Variety Line | 76 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Timeforthat | 57 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Red Carpet Girl | 62 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Fasinada | 52 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Princess Philippa | 74 | 85 | 69 | +16 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Golden Aspen | 78 | 66 | 76 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Rose Willow | 55 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Young Jackie | 66 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Paschals Samore | 53 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Divine Dynasty | 75 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Lidl Miss Sunshine | 76 | 62 | 71 | -9 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Angel's Wish | - | 54 | 54 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points