Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Indigo Fields
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Amarandi 3 57.0 1 0.00 1.5 71 71 71 +0 2 Indigo Fields 3 61.0 2 3.00 1.5 79 79 79 +0 3 Grue Of Ice 6 54.0 3 3.50 0.0 65 68 68 +3 4 Fateful Mistress 5 50.5 4 4.30 0.0 56 61 61 +5 5 Magic In Motion 3 57.5 5 4.40 1.5 72 72 72 +0 6 Capriccio 5 48.0 6 5.40 0.0 54 56 56 +2 7 Diamond Girl 4 57.5 7 6.10 2.0 71 71 71 +0 8 Ethiopian Queen 3 58.5 8 6.10 1.5 74 74 74 +0 9 Ride The Lightning 3 59.5 9 6.80 1.5 76 76 76 +0 10 Gardenia 5 59.5 10 7.80 0.0 75 79 79 +4 11 Miss Magician 3 52.0 11 9.20 1.5 69 61 61 -8 12 Poppy Of Bayeux 3 57.0 12 12.20 1.5 71 71 71 +0 13 Shell Seeker 3 60.0 13 14.10 1.5 77 77 77 +0 14 Natasia 3 53.5 14 15.40 1.5 72 64 64 -8 15 Dunyaa (AUS) 4 56.0 15 17.50 2.0 68 68 68 +0 99 Lazuli 3 57.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 72 72 +0 99 Jack's Bird 5 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amarandi | 71 | 91 | 71 | +20 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Indigo Fields Line | 79 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Grue Of Ice | 65 | 53 | 68 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Fateful Mistress | 56 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Magic In Motion | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Capriccio | 54 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Diamond Girl | 71 | 74 | 71 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ethiopian Queen | 74 | 81 | 74 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Ride The Lightning | 76 | 61 | 76 | -15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Gardenia | 75 | 75 | 79 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Miss Magician | 69 | 68 | 61 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Poppy Of Bayeux | 71 | 57 | 71 | -14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Shell Seeker | 77 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Natasia | 72 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 15 | Dunyaa (AUS) | 68 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lazuli | - | 71 | 72 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Jack's Bird | - | 75 | 82 | -7 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points