Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACING240 FM 79 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Cracklin' Rose
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Magical Java 6 53.5 1 0.00 0.0 66 66 66 +0 2 Cracklin' Rose 3 54.5 2 2.00 0.5 70 70 70 +0 3 Zippy Over 3 56.0 3 4.00 0.5 73 71 71 -2 4 Jet For Time 3 53.5 4 7.25 0.5 67 65 65 -2 5 Thrilla 3 53.5 5 8.00 0.5 68 65 65 -3 6 Forries Forever 3 60.0 6 9.25 0.5 81 78 78 -3 7 Fearless Trip 3 60.0 7 13.50 0.5 81 78 78 -3 8 Belle Rouge 3 57.5 8 13.80 0.5 76 73 73 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magical Java | 66 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cracklin' Rose Line | 70 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Zippy Over | 73 | 78 | 71 | +7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Jet For Time | 67 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Thrilla | 68 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Forries Forever | 81 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Fearless Trip | 81 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Belle Rouge | 76 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points