Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: #THISISRACING MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Sanctity
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 19
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 19
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 19
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Raisetheredlantern 4 54.5 1 0.00 2.0 57 57 57 +0 2 Auld Mug 3 59.5 2 0.10 1.5 68 68 68 +0 3 Red Bishop 5 52.5 3 1.35 0.0 52 57 57 +5 4 Sanctity 4 56.5 4 1.40 2.0 61 61 61 +0 5 Picture The Moment 4 53.0 5 2.65 2.0 54 54 54 +0 6 Jaquar Cat 3 56.5 6 2.75 1.5 62 62 62 +0 7 Travel Master 4 59.0 7 2.85 2.0 66 66 66 +0 8 The Carpenter 8 52.0 8 5.10 0.0 51 56 56 +5 9 FirstAmongEquals 4 58.0 9 5.35 2.0 64 64 64 +0 10 Ticket To Ride 4 58.0 10 5.60 2.0 67 64 64 -3 11 Secret Link 3 57.0 11 8.10 1.5 71 63 63 -8 12 Irish Sea 3 56.0 12 9.35 1.5 61 61 61 +0 13 A Kings Return 3 59.0 13 11.60 1.5 67 67 67 +0 14 Jet Captain 3 56.0 14 13.85 1.5 61 61 61 +0 15 Madame Patrice 5 52.5 15 14.10 0.0 48 57 57 +9 16 Tevye 4 57.5 16 14.60 2.0 63 63 63 +0 17 Timkat 7 56.5 17 15.60 0.0 61 65 65 +4 99 Dhanteras 3 62.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 73 73 +0 99 Great Guy 5 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raisetheredlantern | 57 | 64 | 57 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Auld Mug | 68 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Red Bishop | 52 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sanctity Line | 61 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 5 | Picture The Moment | 54 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Jaquar Cat | 62 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Travel Master | 66 | 65 | 66 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | The Carpenter | 51 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | FirstAmongEquals | 64 | 54 | 64 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ticket To Ride | 67 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Secret Link | 71 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Irish Sea | 61 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | A Kings Return | 67 | 64 | 67 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Jet Captain | 61 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 15 | Madame Patrice | 48 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | Tevye | 63 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 17 | Timkat | 61 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dhanteras | - | 67 | 73 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Great Guy | - | 54 | 61 | -7 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points