Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 22 JULY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Conker The World
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 19
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 19
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 19
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Narcos 3 60.5 1 0.00 1.5 70 73 70 +0 2 Ushuaia 4 61.0 2 0.05 2.0 70 73 73 +3 3 Knave Of Diamonds 3 57.5 3 0.15 1.5 64 67 67 +3 4 Conker The World 4 50.5 4 0.25 2.0 52 52 52 +0 5 Birdie And Bogie 3 60.5 5 0.50 1.5 70 73 73 +3 6 Bethel 6 57.5 6 0.60 0.0 64 70 70 +6 7 Paully 3 57.5 7 1.85 1.5 64 67 67 +3 8 Undisclosed 5 57.5 8 2.35 0.0 71 70 70 -1 9 Toureiro 5 53.5 9 2.45 0.0 55 62 62 +7 10 Zulu War Cry 4 53.5 10 3.20 2.0 55 58 58 +3 11 Question The Stars 3 56.0 11 3.45 1.5 61 64 64 +3 12 Abayyaan 3 60.5 12 3.95 1.5 70 73 73 +3 13 The Sands 6 53.0 13 4.05 0.0 54 61 61 +7 14 Global Design 3 54.5 14 4.15 1.5 58 61 61 +3 15 Don Reposado 3 59.5 15 5.40 1.5 68 71 71 +3 16 Just For Laughs 3 60.0 16 6.65 1.5 69 72 72 +3 17 Aspiringtoreign 3 54.5 17 6.90 1.5 58 61 61 +3 99 Born A Star 3 60.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 72 72 +0 99 Bumrah 4 52.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narcos | 70 | 86 | 70 | +16 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Ushuaia | 70 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Knave Of Diamonds | 64 | 57 | 67 | -10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Conker The World Line | 52 | 57 | 52 | +5 | 2.0 | ||
| 5 | Birdie And Bogie | 70 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Bethel | 64 | 76 | 70 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Paully | 64 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Undisclosed | 71 | 62 | 70 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Toureiro | 55 | 66 | 62 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Zulu War Cry | 55 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Question The Stars | 61 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Abayyaan | 70 | 94 | 73 | +21 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | The Sands | 54 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Global Design | 58 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 15 | Don Reposado | 68 | 51 | 71 | -20 | 1.5 | - | |
| 16 | Just For Laughs | 69 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 17 | Aspiringtoreign | 58 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Born A Star | - | 64 | 72 | -8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Bumrah | - | 53 | 56 | -3 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points