Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 28 JULY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Lulu's Boy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Silly Fella          4    55.5    1    0.00     0.5   59    55           59    +0
2    Wind Sock            3    58.5    2    0.80     1.0   67    64           64    -3
3    Lulu's Boy           5    57.5    3    1.90     0.0   63    63           63    +0
4    Catchthegreenlight   3    59.5    4    3.70     1.0   69    63           63    -6
5    Stolen Thunder       3    58.5    5    3.95     1.0   67    61           61    -6
6    Parker Getrix        4    55.0    6    4.05     0.5   58    55           55    -3
7    High Moon            4    61.5    7    4.25     0.5   71    68           68    -3
8    Burning Ice          4    52.0    8    5.55     0.5   43    48           48    +5
9    Follow My Path       5    55.0    9    6.00     0.0   58    55           55    -3
10   Sea Ways             4    58.0    10   6.50     0.5   64    60           60    -4
11   Twice As Special     5    52.0    11   6.60     0.0   46    49           49    +3
12   Theroseofbecharre    3    58.0    12   7.90     1.0   69    59           59    -10
13   Jackman              8    52.0    13   15.15    0.0   42    49           49    +7
99   Speechmaker          5    57.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     60           60    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Silly Fella 59 51 59 -8 0.5 -
2 Wind Sock 67 68 64 +4 1.0 -
3 Lulu's Boy Line 63 71 63 +8 0.0
4 Catchthegreenlight 69 68 63 +5 1.0 -
5 Stolen Thunder 67 69 61 +8 1.0 -
6 Parker Getrix 58 56 55 +1 0.5 -
7 High Moon 71 71 68 +3 0.5 -
8 Burning Ice 43 41 48 -7 0.5 -
9 Follow My Path 58 54 55 -1 0.0 -
10 Sea Ways 64 60 60 ✓ Match 0.5 -
11 Twice As Special 46 46 49 -3 0.0 -
12 Theroseofbecharre 69 66 59 +7 1.0 -
13 Jackman 42 40 49 -9 0.0 -
99 Speechmaker - 61 60 +1 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points