Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 29 JULY MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Line Of Power
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Vegas Gold 3 56.5 1 0.00 1.5 66 66 66 +0 2 Psychedelic Eric 3 56.0 2 0.75 1.5 65 65 65 +0 3 Line Of Power 4 60.5 3 0.85 2.0 73 73 73 +0 4 On The Road Again 3 60.5 4 1.10 1.5 74 74 74 +0 5 Spanish Fort 5 52.0 5 2.35 0.0 56 60 60 +4 6 Ticket To Ride 4 57.5 6 2.85 2.0 67 67 67 +0 7 Jaquar Cat 3 53.0 7 2.95 1.5 62 59 59 -3 8 Calvino 4 52.5 8 3.70 2.0 54 57 57 +3 9 Stanton Street 5 52.0 9 3.95 0.0 53 60 60 +7 10 Red Bishop 5 52.5 10 5.45 0.0 52 61 61 +9 11 The Carpenter 8 52.0 11 7.70 0.0 51 60 60 +9 12 For Luck Sake 10 52.0 12 11.95 0.0 52 60 60 +8 99 Blindlove 3 51.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 56 56 +0 99 South East 4 62.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 76 76 +0 99 Sanctity 4 54.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 61 61 +0 99 Raining Again 6 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 71 71 +0 99 Undisclosed 5 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 75 75 +0 99 Razor Red 3 61.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegas Gold | 66 | 83 | 66 | +17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Psychedelic Eric | 65 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Line Of Power Line | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | On The Road Again | 74 | 79 | 74 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Spanish Fort | 56 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ticket To Ride | 67 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jaquar Cat | 62 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Calvino | 54 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Stanton Street | 53 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Red Bishop | 52 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | The Carpenter | 51 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | For Luck Sake | 52 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Blindlove | - | 55 | 56 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | South East | - | 55 | 76 | -21 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sanctity | - | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Raining Again | - | 73 | 71 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Undisclosed | - | 62 | 75 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Razor Red | - | 63 | 76 | -13 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points