Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: www.tabgold.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Winter Pearl
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Strawberry Bear 2 57.0 1 0.00 0.5 - 65 6 +6 2 Lazy Guy 4 60.0 2 0.90 2.0 68 68 68 +0 3 Winter Pearl 6 60.0 3 2.60 0.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Buster Keaton 3 60.0 4 6.80 1.5 - 69 69 +69 5 Red Piano 2 57.0 5 7.70 0.5 - 65 65 +65 6 Oshakati 2 57.0 6 7.90 0.5 - 65 65 +65 7 Smith And Wesson 2 57.0 7 8.65 0.5 - 65 65 +65 8 Raptor Island 2 57.0 8 10.15 0.5 - 65 65 +65 9 L'Ultimo 2 57.0 9 14.85 0.5 - 65 65 +65 10 Cash Crusade 2 57.0 10 17.85 0.5 - 65 65 +65 11 Brainwave 2 57.0 11 18.05 0.5 - 65 65 +65 12 Total Eclipse 2 53.0 12 18.75 0.5 - 57 57 +57 13 Robinhood 3 60.0 13 20.85 1.5 48 69 69 +21 14 Redmayne 3 60.0 14 25.85 1.5 - 69 69 +69 99 Seattlegreenlight 2 57.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strawberry Bear | - | 106 | 6 | +100 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Lazy Guy | 68 | 61 | 68 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Winter Pearl Line | 72 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Buster Keaton | - | 60 | 69 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Red Piano | - | 63 | 65 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Oshakati | - | 59 | 65 | -6 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Smith And Wesson | - | 73 | 65 | +8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Raptor Island | - | 61 | 65 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | L'Ultimo | - | 61 | 65 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Cash Crusade | - | 68 | 65 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Brainwave | - | 58 | 65 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Total Eclipse | - | 35 | 57 | -22 | 0.5 | - | |
| 13 | Robinhood | 48 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Redmayne | - | - | 69 | -69 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Seattlegreenlight | - | 60 | 65 | -5 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points