Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 72 APPRENTICE HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Bay Breeze
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Lady Tiptree         3    60.0    1    0.00     1.0   74    76           74    +0
2    Bingin Beach         3    57.5    2    0.05     1.0   72    71           71    -1
3    Bay Breeze           3    52.5    3    3.35     1.0   62    62           62    +0
4    Global Secret        3    52.0    4    3.45     1.0   66    61           61    -5
5    Miss Charlotte       5    48.0    5    5.75     0.0   56    54           54    -2
6    Roy's Rocker         3    48.0    6    6.95     1.0   56    52           52    -4
7    Hot Money            5    54.5    7    7.00     0.0   64    67           67    +3
8    Rain Wear            4    53.0    8    7.15     0.5   66    63           63    -3
9    Paschals Samore      5    52.0    9    8.85     0.0   53    62           62    +9
10   Cozy Dot Com         5    48.5    10   8.95     0.0   52    55           55    +3
11   Cashew               3    57.0    11   24.25    1.0   68    70           70    +2
99   Amberglo Star        5    52.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     62           62    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Lady Tiptree 74 68 74 -6 1.0 -
2 Bingin Beach 72 78 71 +7 1.0 -
3 Bay Breeze Line 62 52 62 -10 1.0
4 Global Secret 66 66 61 +5 1.0 -
5 Miss Charlotte 56 52 54 -2 0.0 -
6 Roy's Rocker 56 53 52 +1 1.0 -
7 Hot Money 64 62 67 -5 0.0 -
8 Rain Wear 66 73 63 +10 0.5 -
9 Paschals Samore 53 62 62 ✓ Match 0.0 -
10 Cozy Dot Com 52 47 55 -8 0.0 -
11 Cashew 68 68 70 -2 1.0 -
99 Amberglo Star - 50 62 -12 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points