Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Quest For The Best
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Putins Promise 5 62.0 1 0.00 0.0 72 76 72 +0 2 Quest For The Best 4 53.5 2 1.20 2.0 55 55 55 +0 3 We All Chomies 5 51.5 3 1.45 0.0 59 55 55 -4 4 The Bayou 7 52.0 4 1.50 0.0 60 56 56 -4 5 Sir Pom 4 59.5 5 2.00 2.0 67 67 67 +0 5 Senor Garcia 3 60.5 5 2.00 1.5 70 70 70 +0 7 Lord Of The Manor 5 52.0 7 3.90 0.0 50 56 56 +6 8 Purple Operator 3 60.5 8 3.95 1.5 70 70 70 +0 9 Family Favourite 3 58.0 9 4.10 1.5 65 65 65 +0 10 One Shot Wonder 3 57.5 10 4.40 1.5 64 64 64 +0 11 Callmemrgreenlight 3 55.0 11 5.45 1.5 59 59 59 +0 12 Path To Fortune 3 58.5 12 6.65 1.5 66 66 66 +0 13 Palace Wind 5 51.0 13 7.65 0.0 53 54 54 +1 14 Prince Tyrion 4 57.0 14 8.15 2.0 62 62 62 +0 15 Vunderbar 4 52.0 15 8.20 2.0 50 52 52 +2 16 Intrepid Act 3 58.5 16 11.10 1.5 66 66 66 +0 99 Grey Ocean 4 57.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 62 62 +0 99 Happy Wanderer 5 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Putins Promise | 72 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Quest For The Best Line | 55 | 76 | 55 | +21 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | We All Chomies | 59 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | The Bayou | 60 | 58 | 56 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sir Pom | 67 | 57 | 67 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Senor Garcia | 70 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Lord Of The Manor | 50 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Purple Operator | 70 | 74 | 70 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Family Favourite | 65 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | One Shot Wonder | 64 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Callmemrgreenlight | 59 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Path To Fortune | 66 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Palace Wind | 53 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Prince Tyrion | 62 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 15 | Vunderbar | 50 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 16 | Intrepid Act | 66 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Grey Ocean | - | 61 | 62 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Happy Wanderer | - | 55 | 67 | -12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points