Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 6 AUGUST FM 79 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (Open)
Line Horse
Baby Dont Hurt Me
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
15 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Golden Aspen 6 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 78 81 78 +0 2 Blue Waters 2 56.0 2 1.50 0.5 86 74 76 -10 3 No Time is Taken 3 58.0 3 1.60 1.5 76 76 76 +0 4 United Express 2 52.0 4 2.40 0.5 81 66 71 -10 5 Baby Dont Hurt Me 3 52.5 5 2.50 1.5 65 65 65 +0 6 Twice As Wild 6 53.5 6 2.55 0.0 67 70 70 +3 7 Risky Business 3 56.5 7 3.10 1.5 73 73 73 +0 8 Gal Gadot 8 52.5 8 5.25 0.0 67 68 68 +1 9 Insatiable 3 57.5 9 5.30 1.5 75 75 75 +0 10 Samoa 10 58.0 10 5.35 0.0 75 79 79 +4 11 Dancing Dora 6 52.0 11 5.40 0.0 64 67 67 +3 12 Linganomore 3 60.0 12 7.00 1.5 80 80 80 +0 13 Space Race 4 57.0 13 7.50 2.0 73 73 73 +0 14 Goddess Of Light 3 57.0 14 8.25 1.5 74 74 74 +0 15 Shikoku 3 56.0 15 13.00 1.5 72 72 72 +0 16 Arctic Skyline 3 58.5 16 99.99 1.5 77 77 77 +0 99 Big City Girl 4 53.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 65 65 +0 99 Song Of Liberty 3 52.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Golden Aspen | 78 | 66 | 78 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Blue Waters | 86 | 61 | 76 | -15 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | No Time is Taken | 76 | 65 | 76 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | United Express | 81 | 74 | 71 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Baby Dont Hurt Me Line | 65 | 52 | 65 | -13 | 1.5 | ||
| 6 | Twice As Wild | 67 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Risky Business | 73 | 75 | 73 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Gal Gadot | 67 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Insatiable | 75 | 62 | 75 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Samoa | 75 | 64 | 79 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Dancing Dora | 64 | 53 | 67 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Linganomore | 80 | 73 | 80 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Space Race | 73 | 57 | 73 | -16 | 2.0 | - | |
| 14 | Goddess Of Light | 74 | 63 | 74 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 15 | Shikoku | 72 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 1.5 | - | |
| 16 | Arctic Skyline | 77 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Big City Girl | - | 59 | 65 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Song Of Liberty | - | 52 | 64 | -12 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points