Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING MONDAY 1 AUGUST FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Variety Breeze
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 20
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 20
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
15 / 20
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Phedra 3 57.5 1 0.00 1.5 74 74 74 +0 2 Civil Rights 3 56.0 2 0.25 1.5 79 71 71 -8 3 Variety Breeze 4 60.0 3 3.50 2.0 78 78 78 +0 4 Waya Yire 3 57.5 4 4.75 1.5 74 74 74 +0 5 Stolen Kiss 3 57.5 5 5.25 1.5 74 74 74 +0 6 Right Choice 4 60.0 6 5.35 2.0 78 78 78 +0 7 Pam's Princess 3 57.5 7 5.60 1.5 74 74 74 +0 8 Drive By 6 60.0 8 6.85 0.0 79 82 82 +3 9 Angel Deb's 3 55.5 9 7.10 1.5 70 70 70 +0 10 Quick Count 3 54.5 10 7.60 1.5 68 68 68 +0 11 What A Blizzard 3 52.5 11 7.65 1.5 64 64 64 +0 12 Lucy Belle 4 59.5 12 8.90 2.0 77 77 77 +0 13 After The Storm 4 54.0 13 9.00 2.0 66 66 66 +0 14 English Princess 4 52.0 14 9.10 2.0 62 62 62 +0 15 Catch The Cat 3 58.5 15 9.60 1.5 76 76 76 +0 16 Blindlove 3 51.0 16 14.60 1.5 64 61 61 -3 17 Mesmerizing Moon 4 57.5 17 15.10 2.0 73 73 73 +0 18 Delicasea 4 61.5 18 16.10 2.0 81 81 81 +0 99 Veneta 3 52.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 63 63 +0 99 Persica 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phedra | 74 | 103 | 74 | +29 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Civil Rights | 79 | 88 | 71 | +17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Variety Breeze Line | 78 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Waya Yire | 74 | 64 | 74 | -10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Stolen Kiss | 74 | 79 | 74 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Right Choice | 78 | 72 | 78 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Pam's Princess | 74 | 82 | 74 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Drive By | 79 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Angel Deb's | 70 | 78 | 70 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Quick Count | 68 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | What A Blizzard | 64 | 52 | 64 | -12 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Lucy Belle | 77 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | After The Storm | 66 | 65 | 66 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 14 | English Princess | 62 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 15 | Catch The Cat | 76 | 70 | 76 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 16 | Blindlove | 64 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 17 | Mesmerizing Moon | 73 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 18 | Delicasea | 81 | 74 | 81 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Veneta | - | 49 | 63 | -14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Persica | - | 48 | 66 | -18 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points