Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 3 APRIL MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Written In Stone
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Super Awesome 4 59.5 1 0.00 4.0 73 65 73 +0 2 Written In Stone 9 56.5 2 0.20 0.0 67 67 67 +0 3 Paul Revere 3 61.5 3 0.70 3.5 82 70 72 -10 4 Western Wishes 5 56.0 4 0.80 0.0 66 66 66 +0 5 Oriental Bouquet 4 52.0 5 1.20 4.0 58 50 50 -8 6 Twice As Wild 6 52.0 6 2.20 0.0 53 58 58 +5 7 Alone Time 4 58.5 7 3.50 4.0 71 63 63 -8 8 Ilha Da Orange 4 57.5 8 5.00 4.0 69 61 61 -8 9 Smelting 7 52.0 9 8.00 0.0 53 58 58 +5 10 Beamonesque 4 60.0 10 9.25 4.0 74 66 66 -8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Super Awesome | 73 | 79 | 73 | +6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Written In Stone Line | 67 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Paul Revere | 82 | 92 | 72 | +20 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Western Wishes | 66 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Oriental Bouquet | 58 | 56 | 50 | +6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Twice As Wild | 53 | 51 | 58 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Alone Time | 71 | 68 | 63 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ilha Da Orange | 69 | 75 | 61 | +14 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Smelting | 53 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Beamonesque | 74 | 76 | 66 | +10 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points