Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: S and S INSURANCE BROKERS MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Winter Pearl
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter Pearl 6 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 67 67 67 +0 2 Geronimo 4 60.0 2 0.90 6.0 61 59 59 -2 3 Johnny's Hope 2 57.0 3 1.40 0.0 - 64 64 +64 4 Promettere 5 57.0 4 1.70 0.0 - 64 64 +64 5 Without Question 5 55.5 5 2.10 0.0 86 61 76 -10 6 Captainofthegreen 3 57.0 6 2.35 8.5 - 46 46 +46 7 American Dream 3 60.0 7 4.55 8.5 63 50 53 -10 8 Global Outlook 2 57.0 8 12.15 0.0 - 61 61 +61 9 Laughing William 5 57.0 9 13.45 0.0 - 61 61 +61 10 One Man's Army 3 60.0 10 18.25 8.5 - 50 50 +50 11 Baltyboys 2 57.0 11 18.65 0.0 - 61 61 +61 99 Sacred Lily 6 53.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 53 53 +0 99 Soul Captain 2 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 61 61 +0 99 Venerable 3 60.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 50 50 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter Pearl Line | 67 | 71 | 67 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 2 | Geronimo | 61 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Johnny's Hope | - | 79 | 64 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Promettere | - | 98 | 64 | +34 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Without Question | 86 | 111 | 76 | +35 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Captainofthegreen | - | 96 | 46 | +50 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | American Dream | 63 | 81 | 53 | +28 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | Global Outlook | - | 55 | 61 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Laughing William | - | 75 | 61 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | One Man's Army | - | 32 | 50 | -18 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Baltyboys | - | 30 | 61 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sacred Lily | - | 52 | 53 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Soul Captain | - | 59 | 61 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Venerable | - | 62 | 50 | +12 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points