Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: #FILLIESINRACING MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mr Frostie
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Arctic Ice 4 59.0 1 0.00 12.0 66 66 66 +0 2 Mr Frostie 4 54.5 2 1.25 12.0 57 57 57 +0 3 Heathcliff 2 57.5 3 1.45 7.0 77 73 73 -4 4 Fly To Rio 4 55.5 4 4.70 12.0 59 59 59 +0 5 Auld Mug 3 61.0 5 5.45 10.5 70 73 73 +3 6 Bluff On Bluff 3 61.5 6 5.75 10.5 71 74 74 +3 7 Rosie Roan 4 57.0 7 7.00 12.0 62 62 62 +0 8 Veronique 6 54.5 8 9.50 0.0 57 81 81 +24 99 Birdie And Bogie 3 61.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arctic Ice | 66 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 12.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mr Frostie Line | 57 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 12.0 | ||
| 3 | Heathcliff | 77 | 100 | 73 | +27 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Fly To Rio | 59 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 12.0 | - | |
| 5 | Auld Mug | 70 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Bluff On Bluff | 71 | 80 | 74 | +6 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Rosie Roan | 62 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 12.0 | - | |
| 8 | Veronique | 57 | 56 | 81 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Birdie And Bogie | - | 68 | 73 | -5 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points