Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Two Of Us
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Putins Promise 5 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 75 83 75 +0 2 Two Of Us 6 53.5 2 1.90 0.0 72 72 72 +0 3 Sir Pom 4 54.5 3 2.80 12.0 62 50 52 -10 4 Botz 3 62.0 4 5.40 10.5 81 68 71 -10 5 Cavalieri 5 56.5 5 5.60 0.0 70 78 78 +8 6 Trafalgar Square 6 52.0 6 5.75 0.0 60 69 69 +9 7 Quiz Master 3 56.0 7 5.80 10.5 72 56 62 -10 8 Letaba 6 57.0 8 8.10 0.0 76 79 79 +3 9 Blaze Of Silk 7 61.5 9 9.10 0.0 80 88 88 +8 10 Joshua Hotsnake 3 57.0 10 9.15 10.5 71 58 61 -10 11 Crested Eagle 3 55.5 11 14.15 10.5 71 55 61 -10 12 In With A Chance 2 56.5 12 16.25 7.0 84 64 74 -10 13 The Hound 3 56.5 13 32.45 10.5 70 57 60 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Putins Promise | 75 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Two Of Us Line | 72 | 67 | 72 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Sir Pom | 62 | 57 | 52 | +5 | 12.0 | - | |
| 4 | Botz | 81 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 10.5 | - | |
| 5 | Cavalieri | 70 | 73 | 78 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Trafalgar Square | 60 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Quiz Master | 72 | 60 | 62 | -2 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | Letaba | 76 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Blaze Of Silk | 80 | 76 | 88 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Joshua Hotsnake | 71 | 67 | 61 | +6 | 10.5 | - | |
| 11 | Crested Eagle | 71 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 10.5 | - | |
| 12 | In With A Chance | 84 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 13 | The Hound | 70 | 67 | 60 | +7 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points