Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Hooves Of Troy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 One Too Many 3 54.0 1 0.00 10.5 65 44 65 +0 2 Hooves Of Troy 5 60.5 2 1.40 0.0 78 78 78 +0 3 Rulership 2 56.0 3 2.15 7.0 83 55 73 -10 4 We All Chomies 5 48.0 4 2.65 0.0 59 53 53 -6 4 Hampton Court 7 56.5 4 2.65 0.0 70 70 70 +0 6 Purple Operator 3 56.5 6 3.95 10.5 70 49 60 -10 7 Northern Warrior 7 55.0 7 4.55 0.0 70 67 67 -3 8 Valiente 5 55.5 8 5.30 0.0 68 68 68 +0 9 Woodstock Festival 6 50.5 9 5.55 0.0 66 58 58 -8 10 Iron Bark 3 55.5 10 8.15 10.5 68 47 58 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | One Too Many | 65 | 79 | 65 | +14 | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | Hooves Of Troy Line | 78 | 87 | 78 | +9 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Rulership | 83 | 118 | 73 | +45 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | We All Chomies | 59 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Hampton Court | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Purple Operator | 70 | 74 | 60 | +14 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Northern Warrior | 70 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Valiente | 68 | 75 | 68 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Woodstock Festival | 66 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Iron Bark | 68 | 96 | 58 | +38 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points