Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 25 AUGUST MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Twice As Wild
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Irrevocable Dream 5 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 59 59 59 +0 2 Cocoa Hill 3 55.5 2 1.10 10.5 57 36 47 -10 3 Twice As Wild 6 60.0 3 1.30 0.0 66 66 66 +0 4 Dancing Dora 6 59.0 4 1.35 0.0 64 64 64 +0 5 Magic Flower 2 57.5 5 1.75 7.0 78 47 68 -10 6 Player 3 59.0 6 2.25 10.5 64 43 54 -10 7 Princess Queen 3 50.5 7 4.00 10.5 48 26 38 -10 8 Bridge Of Spies 6 52.0 8 7.30 0.0 50 50 50 +0 9 Earl of Cardigan 3 59.5 9 9.50 10.5 65 44 55 -10 99 Musical Kiss 3 53.5 99 0.00 10.5 - 32 32 +0 99 Var Park 5 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irrevocable Dream | 59 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cocoa Hill | 57 | 63 | 47 | +16 | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | Twice As Wild Line | 66 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Dancing Dora | 64 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Magic Flower | 78 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Player | 64 | 84 | 54 | +30 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Princess Queen | 48 | 45 | 38 | +7 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | Bridge Of Spies | 50 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Earl of Cardigan | 65 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Musical Kiss | - | 53 | 32 | +21 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Var Park | - | 87 | 64 | +23 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points