Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 77 APPRENTICE HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Stanley
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Forest Jump 8 53.5 1 0.00 0.0 72 62 72 +0 2 Queue Wing 7 59.0 2 0.40 0.0 75 78 78 +3 3 Stanley 5 57.0 3 3.20 0.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Patronage 4 60.0 4 6.80 7.0 80 61 70 -10 5 Congo Compaq 5 59.0 5 7.60 0.0 75 73 73 -2 6 Straight Up 5 56.5 6 7.85 0.0 78 68 68 -10 7 Napoleon 3 57.5 7 9.35 9.0 73 52 63 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forest Jump | 72 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Queue Wing | 75 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Stanley Line | 71 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Patronage | 80 | 76 | 70 | +6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Congo Compaq | 75 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Straight Up | 78 | 79 | 68 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Napoleon | 73 | 72 | 63 | +9 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points