Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: SOCCER ANY15 MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Willow's Wish
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Rodriguez            6    52.0    1    0.00     0.0   72    79           72    +0
2    Spirit Of My Fate    5    54.5    2    0.60     0.0   80    89           89    +9
3    Willow's Wish        4    60.5    3    0.65     7.0   87    87           87    +0
4    Arumugam             6    57.5    4    1.45     0.0   83    93           93    +10
5    Tabebuia             3    56.5    5    2.65     10.0  81    70           71    -10
6    Ideal Act            3    60.0    6    2.80     10.0  88    77           78    -10
7    Lucky Dancer         6    59.5    7    3.10     0.0   85    96           96    +11
8    Juan Carlos          7    57.0    8    4.40     0.0   83    89           89    +6
9    Etiquette            3    56.0    9    4.90     10.0  80    67           70    -10
10   Run To Denmark       6    59.0    10   4.95     0.0   84    93           93    +9
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Rodriguez 72 69 72 -3 0.0 -
2 Spirit Of My Fate 80 70 89 -19 0.0 -
3 Willow's Wish Line 87 96 87 +9 7.0
4 Arumugam 83 74 93 -19 0.0 -
5 Tabebuia 81 94 71 +23 10.0 -
6 Ideal Act 88 86 78 +8 10.0 -
7 Lucky Dancer 85 83 96 -13 0.0 -
8 Juan Carlos 83 93 89 +4 0.0 -
9 Etiquette 80 83 70 +13 10.0 -
10 Run To Denmark 84 84 93 -9 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points