Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 26 AUGUST FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Cana
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Crafty Heart 4 57.0 1 0.00 7.0 60 58 60 +0 2 Wildest Dreams 3 58.0 2 0.25 10.0 64 54 54 -10 3 Cana 4 54.5 3 2.25 7.0 58 58 58 +0 4 Space Oddity 4 53.0 4 4.00 7.0 52 52 52 +0 5 Do Si Do 3 59.0 5 4.10 10.0 66 58 58 -8 6 Colorama 6 56.0 6 7.10 0.0 60 70 70 +10 7 Sarajevo 4 53.5 7 8.35 7.0 53 51 51 -2 8 Arion Of Adrast 3 56.5 8 10.10 10.0 60 51 51 -9 9 Kavian's Cara 4 53.0 9 12.35 7.0 52 50 50 -2 10 Izhiestia 5 54.0 10 12.60 0.0 54 66 66 +12 11 With Our Blessing 4 52.0 11 12.65 7.0 50 48 48 -2 12 Pinch Me 4 52.0 12 15.65 7.0 50 48 48 -2 13 Ubiquitas 3 61.0 13 16.90 10.0 70 60 60 -10 14 Tartan Dancer 5 55.5 14 20.15 0.0 57 69 69 +12 99 Get It Done 6 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crafty Heart | 60 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Wildest Dreams | 64 | 87 | 54 | +33 | 10.0 | - | |
| 3 | Cana Line | 58 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Space Oddity | 52 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Do Si Do | 66 | 65 | 58 | +7 | 10.0 | - | |
| 6 | Colorama | 60 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sarajevo | 53 | 63 | 51 | +12 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Arion Of Adrast | 60 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 10.0 | - | |
| 9 | Kavian's Cara | 52 | 56 | 50 | +6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Izhiestia | 54 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | With Our Blessing | 50 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Pinch Me | 50 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 13 | Ubiquitas | 70 | 65 | 60 | +5 | 10.0 | - | |
| 14 | Tartan Dancer | 57 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Get It Done | - | 71 | 73 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points