Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: PERPETUA HOUSE MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Beerenberg
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ragnar Lothbrok 3 57.5 1 0.00 10.5 75 81 75 +0 2 Beerenberg 2 55.5 2 4.25 7.0 84 84 84 +0 3 Bonanza 3 59.0 3 5.50 10.5 78 84 84 +6 4 Kimball O'Hara 2 58.0 4 5.90 7.0 90 89 89 -1 5 La Vida 3 56.0 5 6.65 10.5 71 78 78 +7 6 Ciollum's Delight 4 54.0 6 8.90 12.0 68 71 71 +3 7 Wordsworth 7 52.0 7 9.30 0.0 64 91 91 +27 8 Skidoo 6 60.5 8 9.60 0.0 81 108 108 +27 9 Magnetic Dime 4 55.5 9 12.85 12.0 71 74 74 +3 10 Persistance 3 55.5 10 13.25 10.5 71 77 77 +6 11 Baltimore Jack 5 56.5 11 19.50 0.0 73 100 100 +27 99 On The Road Again 3 57.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 75 | 81 | 75 | +6 | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | Beerenberg Line | 84 | 76 | 84 | -8 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Bonanza | 78 | 57 | 84 | -27 | 10.5 | - | |
| 4 | Kimball O'Hara | 90 | 61 | 89 | -28 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | La Vida | 71 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Ciollum's Delight | 68 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 12.0 | - | |
| 7 | Wordsworth | 64 | 65 | 91 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Skidoo | 81 | 73 | 108 | -35 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Magnetic Dime | 71 | 78 | 74 | +4 | 12.0 | - | |
| 10 | Persistance | 71 | 50 | 77 | -27 | 10.5 | - | |
| 11 | Baltimore Jack | 73 | 72 | 100 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | On The Road Again | - | 79 | 80 | -1 | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points